ADC San Fermín vs Buenavista Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADC San Fermín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
PIQ
0 - 3
SAN
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
ASO
46%
21%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 1
SAN
74%
15%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
ADL
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
GND
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Buenavista Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
BVC
6 - 1
GND
68%
17%
16%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AAC
0 - 2
BVC
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BVC
6 - 6
LMA
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
EVM
7 - 1
BVC
84%
10%
6%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BVC
1 - 3
LMJ
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |