Costa Tropical vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
48.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Tropical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 0
ADF
65%
17%
17%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ADF
1 - 0
VAN
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
ALM
1 - 2
ADF
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ADF
2 - 0
ZUB
53%
20%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ALF
1 - 3
ADF
37%
21%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAL
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
OTU
1 - 6
GUA
7%
14%
79%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
GUA
3 - 1
UDM
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 4
GUA
26%
22%
51%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |