ADESG vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADESG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
TUN
3 - 0
ADE
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 0
ADE
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ADE
3 - 0
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
ADE
4 - 0
VAS
75%
16%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
ADE
2 - 0
RIO
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 3
TUN
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 2
RIO
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
TUN
3 - 0
ADE
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 3
PAL
29%
23%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 0
TUN
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |