Adeli vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adeli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 1
IME
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
SKU
2 - 0
ADE
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 1
MER
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
TEL
4 - 1
ADE
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 2
MES
22%
22%
57%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GAG
0 - 0
ALG
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
IME
2 - 4
GAG
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
GAG
3 - 1
SAP
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SKU
2 - 4
GAG
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GAG
2 - 0
CHK
72%
17%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |