Adelaide University vs Cumberland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SIF
2 - 4
AUN
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 3
AUN
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
AUN
2 - 3
GAW
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NDV
0 - 1
AUN
47%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
AUN
5 - 1
SRF
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Cumberland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SUF
0 - 2
CUM
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MVS
0 - 8
CUM
20%
20%
61%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
1 - 1
CUM
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 2
PAR
16%
20%
65%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
CUM
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | +2 |