A-League Round 16

Adelaide United vs Perth Glory analysis

Adelaide United Perth Glory
77 ELO 71
-3.5% Tilt -2.8%
1216º General ELO ranking 3197º
Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
53%
Adelaide United
25%
Draw
22%
Perth Glory

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
Adelaide United
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22%
Win probability
Perth Glory
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Adelaide United
-17%
-6%
Perth Glory

ELO progression

Adelaide United
Perth Glory
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Adelaide United
Adelaide United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2013
NEW
Newcastle Jets
0 - 0
Adelaide United
ADE
32%
27%
41%
76 66 10 0
31 Dec. 2012
ADE
Adelaide United
3 - 0
Sydney FC
SYD
51%
25%
24%
76 72 4 0
26 Dec. 2012
ADE
Adelaide United
0 - 1
Brisbane Roar
BRI
45%
26%
30%
76 75 1 0
21 Dec. 2012
WES
Western Sydney Wanderers
6 - 1
Adelaide United
ADE
47%
25%
29%
77 75 2 -1
16 Dec. 2012
ADE
Adelaide United
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
WPH
51%
26%
23%
77 73 4 0

Matches

Perth Glory
Perth Glory
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2013
PER
Perth Glory
2 - 2
Sydney FC
SYD
50%
24%
25%
72 71 1 0
31 Dec. 2012
CCM
Central Coast Mariners
1 - 0
Perth Glory
PER
56%
23%
21%
72 78 6 0
27 Dec. 2012
PER
Perth Glory
1 - 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
WES
47%
27%
26%
72 76 4 0
21 Dec. 2012
BRI
Brisbane Roar
0 - 1
Perth Glory
PER
54%
24%
22%
72 75 3 0
14 Dec. 2012
PER
Perth Glory
3 - 0
Newcastle Jets
NEW
56%
23%
21%
71 67 4 +1