Adelaide United vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
3 - 2
ADE
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
BRI
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 3
ADE
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PER
4 - 1
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 1
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 1
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
PER
3 - 3
BRI
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |