Adelaide United vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
8º
6º
18
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3.5% | 12% |
|
Next round
|
58.5% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 0
CCM
32%
26%
43%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
WES
5 - 1
ADE
38%
23%
39%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
ADE
3%
9%
88%
|
71 | 23 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CCM
2 - 0
ADE
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 2
CCM
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
MCI
20%
21%
59%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 2
WUF
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
1 - 2
MCI
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 2
SYD
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
MCI
0 - 0
VEN
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |