Adelaide United II vs Adelaide Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
12º
6º
24
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NEM
5 - 1
ADE
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 4
CRO
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 4
PAR
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
4 - 4
ADE
39%
21%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 4
ADE
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 4
MOD
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 2
ADO
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 1
ADE
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WHI
4 - 0
ADO
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ADO
0 - 2
ADE
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |