Adelaide Raiders vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
76%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
4 - 3
ADE
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 2
WAD
9%
18%
73%
|
16 | 61 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 2
WHI
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ADE
0 - 2
ADE
17%
22%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WAD
3 - 1
ADE
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 59 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
WES
1 - 1
NEM
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NEM
0 - 0
CAM
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
NEM
1 - 0
ADE
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
NEM
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
NEM
0 - 0
SAP
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |