Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.4%
2.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 1
ADE
20%
19%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ADE
3 - 1
WAD
14%
19%
68%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
2 - 0
ADE
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ADE
3 - 0
WES
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 1
ADE
43%
24%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SLF
1 - 3
PAR
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SLF
0 - 1
ADO
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
WAD
0 - 0
SLF
94%
5%
1%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SLF
2 - 1
26%
21%
54%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SLF
2 - 8
PAR
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |