Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
64%
19%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
ADE
16%
20%
64%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
ADE
4 - 0
SLF
91%
6%
2%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 3
ADE
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
WAD
1 - 3
ADE
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
NEM
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
WAD
1 - 0
PAR
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
WES
0 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 3
ADE
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 0
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |