Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SAP
0 - 3
ADE
9%
13%
78%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ADE
0 - 2
NEM
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SLF
0 - 3
ADE
5%
11%
84%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ADE
3 - 1
ADO
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ADE
4 - 0
WAD
36%
23%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Croydon Kings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
CRO
34%
23%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 3
ADE
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ADO
2 - 1
CRO
35%
21%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 1
WAD
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |