Ada Velipojë vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
6º
10º
11º
20
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 2 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ada Velipojë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ADA
0 - 0
GRA
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
KFV
5 - 0
ADA
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ADA
1 - 3
SOP
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 0
ADA
52%
19%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ADA
2 - 2
SHE
29%
20%
51%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
ILI
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ILI
2 - 4
SHE
55%
20%
25%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
ILI
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ILI
0 - 0
VEL
18%
22%
61%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VOR
4 - 0
ILI
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |