Saucillo vs Estrella Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saucillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SAU
4 - 3
SSJ
38%
21%
41%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 2
SAU
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SAU
1 - 1
GYM
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAU
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SAU
4 - 0
ICO
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
EST
2 - 3
LHU
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
UDL
1 - 3
EST
11%
15%
73%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
SDT
1 - 2
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
EST
2 - 0
ING
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
FBT
4 - 0
EST
28%
20%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |