AD Plus Ultra vs SAD Villaverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
PUL
0 - 1
OBE
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
RUN
4 - 1
PUL
40%
31%
29%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
PUL
2 - 1
RSO
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
EIB
1 - 1
PUL
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
PUL
0 - 0
ZAR
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SAD Villaverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
CFP
2 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 2
SLA
45%
28%
27%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
TAL
2 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATB
51%
26%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
AND
3 - 1
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |