AD Plus Ultra vs Michelín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
HUE
3 - 1
PUL
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
PUL
2 - 0
TUD
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
OSA
3 - 2
PUL
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
PUL
4 - 3
TAL
46%
27%
28%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
AND
2 - 1
PUL
61%
22%
16%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Michelín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
SDM
2 - 0
EIB
40%
28%
32%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
EJE
1 - 4
SDM
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
SDM
0 - 4
MIR
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
CHA
2 - 0
SDM
56%
22%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
SDM
0 - 1
RSO
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |