AD Plus Ultra vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
HER
2 - 0
PUL
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
PUL
2 - 0
CDT
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
MEL
1 - 0
PUL
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
DEP
1 - 1
PUL
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
PUL
1 - 0
VAD
36%
25%
38%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
REC
3 - 0
VAL
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
RJA
1 - 1
REC
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
REC
4 - 1
UDL
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
REC
0 - 4
CCF
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
MUR
1 - 2
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |