AD Plus Ultra vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
UDL
2 - 1
PUL
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
PUL
1 - 1
CCF
58%
21%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1960 |
VAL
2 - 1
PUL
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
PUL
11 - 0
RJA
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
CDO
1 - 0
PUL
68%
17%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
RAY
0 - 2
CDT
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
MUR
2 - 1
RAY
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
RAY
2 - 2
LEV
56%
21%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
EXT
0 - 4
RAY
65%
19%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
RAY
3 - 3
SSC
65%
19%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |