AD Plus Ultra vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CAD
3 - 0
PUL
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
PUL
2 - 0
MAL
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
RAY
0 - 1
PUL
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
PUL
1 - 2
UDL
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
CCF
1 - 0
PUL
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
HER
3 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SFE
3 - 1
HER
49%
25%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
LEV
1 - 1
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
HER
3 - 0
EXT
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |