AD Plus Ultra vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
EXT
3 - 0
PUL
77%
13%
10%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
PUL
2 - 2
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
XER
4 - 0
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
RJA
4 - 1
PUL
81%
11%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
PUL
3 - 0
SFE
65%
18%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
GRA
1 - 1
CDC
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
MAL
2 - 1
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
GRA
2 - 4
UDE
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
CDT
3 - 2
GRA
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
GRA
2 - 1
EXT
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |