AD Plus Ultra vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
CDT
3 - 0
PUL
49%
24%
28%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
PUL
2 - 0
LEV
66%
18%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
MUR
2 - 3
PUL
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
PUL
3 - 1
EXT
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
BET
2 - 1
PUL
83%
10%
6%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
SFE
2 - 2
CAD
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
CCF
3 - 0
SFE
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
SFE
2 - 1
CDT
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
LEV
1 - 1
SFE
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
SFE
1 - 0
ELC
39%
23%
38%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |