AD Plus Ultra vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
PLA
0 - 0
PUL
40%
28%
33%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
PUL
2 - 1
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
VAL
2 - 1
PUL
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
PUL
2 - 0
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
PUL
1 - 0
ALC
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
0 - 2
RJA
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
BEN
4 - 2
ALC
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 2
ALC
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
7 - 1
ADR
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | -1 |