AD Plus Ultra vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
RAY
1 - 0
PUL
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PUL
5 - 1
SBA
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
TAL
2 - 1
PUL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
PUL
5 - 0
SEG
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
FEM
3 - 1
PUL
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDT
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALC
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAR
33%
26%
42%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
GDE
1 - 0
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
ALC
3 - 3
AVI
38%
26%
36%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |