Deportivo Pasto vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 0
CAL
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 0
JUN
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
EQU
2 - 0
PAS
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 3
PAS
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
HUI
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
QUI
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IND
0 - 3
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |