Oliveirense vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 3
SPB
7%
17%
76%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
4 - 3
ADO
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 1
MIR
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
PEN
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 3
ADO
14%
21%
66%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PED
0 - 0
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
MIR
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
MON
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |