AD Nogueirense vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LUS
4 - 4
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 1
OPE
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
ADN
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ADN
2 - 1
ANA
27%
24%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 3
SAN
15%
21%
63%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
COI
74%
16%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
LUS
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
CIN
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
ESP
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 0
ESP
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |