Santa Ana vs Municipal Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
11º
12º
12º
24
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 25 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 17 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SAP
3 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
SPO
3 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSC
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MUN
0 - 1
CSH
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 1
PFC
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
MUN
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SAP
1 - 1
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |