Mancha Real AD vs CD Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
ADM
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
ADM
65%
19%
16%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ADM
2 - 3
NAV
57%
21%
23%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ADM
1 - 2
VAL
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ADM
73%
17%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 0
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
VAL
56%
22%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
JOD
2 - 1
VIL
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAI
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 5
VIL
34%
24%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |