AD Llerenense vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
ANT
0 - 0
ADL
57%
25%
19%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 0
JER
53%
25%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
MOT
4 - 1
ADL
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 1
MER
46%
27%
27%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1979 |
PEG
4 - 0
ADL
78%
13%
8%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
MEL
3 - 0
BET
58%
25%
17%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
UCF
0 - 0
MEL
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
MEL
2 - 0
BAL
60%
25%
15%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
IME
0 - 1
MEL
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
MEL
1 - 1
EST
64%
22%
14%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |