AD Llerenense vs CD Gévora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
UDF
1 - 5
ADL
7%
17%
76%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
LEA
3 - 1
ADL
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ADL
1 - 0
LEA
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ADL
2 - 0
CDB
25%
25%
49%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
CDB
1 - 0
ADL
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Gévora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
GEV
1 - 1
PUE
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GEV
1 - 0
CDP
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CDP
0 - 0
GEV
48%
24%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
VAL
5 - 1
GEV
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GEV
7 - 1
BOS
89%
8%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |