AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
26%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
POL
4 - 1
AGD
65%
23%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
AGD
2 - 0
MAR
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
CAD
5 - 2
AGD
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 1
BET
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 0
AGD
24%
29%
47%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDL
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
SFE
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
UBC
1 - 1
RJA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 0
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |