AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
SEV
5 - 1
AGD
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1971 |
BET
2 - 0
AGD
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
AGD
3 - 0
ELD
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
ELC
2 - 1
AGD
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
AGD
0 - 0
MUR
44%
28%
28%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
RJA
0 - 0
LIN
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
BET
1 - 1
RJA
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
RJA
6 - 0
JOV
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
CFC
1 - 1
RJA
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
RJA
1 - 2
PUL
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |