AgD Ceuta vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CPC
2 - 1
AGD
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
BAL
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BET
3 - 3
AGD
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AGD
3 - 1
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 2
AGD
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
LUC
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LUC
3 - 3
PUE
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 1
LOR
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |