Copa del Rey . 1/128
Global 2-3
AgD Ceuta vs Jerez Industrial CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
HOS
1 - 1
AGD
28%
31%
42%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
AGD
3 - 0
POR
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
JER
0 - 0
AGD
23%
27%
51%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
SFE
0 - 0
AGD
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
AGD
2 - 1
PUE
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
ARC
1 - 0
JER
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
JER
3 - 1
BRE
73%
18%
9%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
JER
0 - 0
AGD
23%
27%
51%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
SEV
3 - 0
JER
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
JER
2 - 2
DBN
58%
23%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |