Casillas vs S. Lanzahita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
82.6%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.8%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CDS
2 - 0
CAS
78%
13%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 5
BOS
17%
18%
66%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 3
CAS
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
HOY
42%
21%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ARE
11 - 0
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
S. Lanzahita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RAM
0 - 1
SPO
6%
11%
83%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 6
SPO
8%
12%
80%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
BUR
44%
20%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
TIE
32%
20%
48%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FCN
2 - 1
SPO
9%
13%
79%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |