AD Carmópolis vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1063%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Carmópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 0
OSE
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
ADC
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
ADC
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 0
ATG
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
ADC
72%
18%
10%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
AME
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATG
1 - 4
SER
16%
21%
64%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |