Camacha vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+117%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
8º
4º
35
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 1
RIB
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OSL
1 - 2
CAM
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
TIR
45%
27%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GDL
0 - 3
CAM
11%
16%
73%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
CAM
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VPE
2 - 2
VIL
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
MIR
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
OSA
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
RIB
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |