Camacha vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+115%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
8º
4º
35
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 1
RIB
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OSL
1 - 2
CAM
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
TIR
45%
27%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GDL
0 - 3
CAM
11%
16%
73%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
CAM
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VPE
2 - 2
VIL
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
MIR
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
OSA
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
RIB
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |