Camacha vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAM
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SIN
5 - 1
CAM
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
SCP
2 - 1
PAR
86%
11%
3%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 1
LAG
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CIN
1 - 0
PAR
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
PAR
0 - 3
VIT
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 2
LOU
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |