Alcorcón vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 0
GIM
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 2
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDO
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ULP
1 - 0
ALC
55%
27%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
LAN
0 - 1
UDF
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
PPJ
1 - 1
LAN
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 3
COB
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
RAY
1 - 2
LAN
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 1
SSR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |