Alcorcón vs Toscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ZAM
6 - 0
ALC
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALB
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
PLA
2 - 2
ALC
45%
23%
31%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ALC
0 - 2
ARG
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDT
78%
13%
8%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 0
CIE
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
CDB
2 - 0
TCF
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
GUA
2 - 0
TCF
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
TCF
2 - 2
ZAM
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 1
ALB
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |