Alcorcón vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
DEP
0 - 1
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
FUE
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PPJ
0 - 2
ALC
48%
28%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 1
RSI
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
0 - 3
ALC
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 1
UDF
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LAN
3 - 1
RMC
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 2
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CDO
1 - 2
RMC
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 2
VEC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |