Alcorcón vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PON
0 - 2
ALC
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
RIB
1 - 4
ALC
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
COR
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
AVI
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
RMC
0 - 0
COR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
RMC
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
RMC
3 - 1
AVI
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CDO
1 - 1
RMC
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
RMC
2 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |