Alcorcón vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
MEX
2 - 1
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
ALC
2 - 2
CDB
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
SFN
1 - 1
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
ALC
4 - 1
MST
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
COL
2 - 1
ALC
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
ARA
1 - 0
LEG
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
RMC
1 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
ARA
1 - 0
PEG
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
CIE
0 - 2
ARA
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
ARA
3 - 3
AVI
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |