LaLiga2 Round 38

Alcorcón vs CD Lugo analysis

Alcorcón CD Lugo
71 ELO 67
-12.3% Tilt -10.5%
1556º General ELO ranking 2221º
55º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
51.2%
Alcorcón
27.2%
Draw
21.6%
CD Lugo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
Alcorcón
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
21.6%
Win probability
CD Lugo
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Alcorcón
CD Lugo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcorcón
Alcorcón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2020
ALB
Albacete
1 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
38%
29%
34%
71 70 1 0
29 Jun. 2020
ALC
Alcorcón
3 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
24%
27%
49%
71 78 7 0
25 Jun. 2020
ALM
Almería
0 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
58%
24%
18%
70 76 6 +1
21 Jun. 2020
CAD
Cádiz
1 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
58%
25%
17%
70 78 8 0
18 Jun. 2020
ALC
Alcorcón
0 - 2
Real Sporting
SPO
33%
30%
38%
71 75 4 -1

Matches

CD Lugo
CD Lugo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2020
LUG
CD Lugo
3 - 1
Numancia
NUM
39%
27%
34%
66 69 3 0
28 Jun. 2020
SPO
Real Sporting
2 - 0
CD Lugo
LUG
63%
23%
14%
67 75 8 -1
23 Jun. 2020
LUG
CD Lugo
0 - 0
Málaga
MAL
32%
30%
38%
67 76 9 0
20 Jun. 2020
UDL
UD Las Palmas
1 - 0
CD Lugo
LUG
60%
23%
17%
67 73 6 0
16 Jun. 2020
LUG
CD Lugo
1 - 3
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
24%
25%
51%
68 77 9 -1