Alcorcón vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 2
ALC
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
ZAR
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LEG
3 - 0
ALC
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALM
28%
28%
45%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 0
ALC
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
VAD
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MLL
1 - 1
LUG
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
ELC
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GIR
0 - 1
LUG
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 0
CDT
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |