Alcorcón C vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
ALC
36%
21%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
6 - 1
NCD
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LAB
2 - 2
ALC
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 0
FUE
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
3 - 2
ALC
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCA
3 - 4
ESC
43%
21%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
UCA
72%
15%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UCA
9 - 1
ATL
59%
19%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 1
UCA
42%
21%
37%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UCA
5 - 1
FOB
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |