Acri vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACR
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACR
1 - 0
ACI
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
ACR
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ACR
1 - 1
ASD
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
ACR
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
NUV
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CIT
0 - 0
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
POL
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 3
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
LIC
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |