Acqui vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
ACQ
36%
27%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 1
ACQ
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ACQ
1 - 1
BEL
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ACQ
1 - 2
SES
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 2
ACQ
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
CUN
42%
25%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 3
BOR
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
CHI
17%
23%
60%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
SAC
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
SET
1 - 0
CHI
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |