Serie D Grupo I round 16

Acireale vs Paternò analysis

Acireale Paternò
38 ELO 27
-14.7% Tilt -11.2%
5652º General ELO ranking 7326º
161º Country ELO ranking 237º
ELO win probability
65.6%
Acireale
19%
Draw
15.4%
Paternò

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
Acireale
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.4%
Win probability
Paternò
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Acireale
-35%
+7%
Paternò

Points and table prediction

Acireale
Their league position
Paternò
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
16º
11º
37
10º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Catania
88
88
100%
Locri 1909
57
57
100%
Trapani
54
54
100%
Lamezia Terme
54
54
100%
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
52
52
0%
Licata
52
52
0%
Sancataldese
52
52
0%
US Vibonese Calcio
47
47
100%
Santa Maria Cilento
45
45
100%
Canicattì
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Acireale
11º
41
41
11º
0%
Castrovillari
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Real Agro Aversa
13º
37
38
13º
100%
San Luca
14º
37
37
14º
0%
Ragusa
15º
37
37
15º
0%
Paternò
16º
37
37
16º
0%
Cittanova Interpiana
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Mariglianese
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Acireale
Paternò
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Acireale
Paternò
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Acireale
Acireale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2022
TRA
Trapani
7 - 0
Acireale
ACI
71%
18%
12%
38 49 11 0
11 Dec. 2022
LOC
Locri 1909
2 - 1
Acireale
ACI
36%
26%
38%
39 34 5 -1
04 Dec. 2022
ACI
Acireale
2 - 1
Mariglianese
MAR
78%
15%
8%
39 23 16 0
27 Nov. 2022
CAT
Catania
1 - 0
Acireale
ACI
74%
18%
8%
40 56 16 -1
20 Nov. 2022
ACI
Acireale
0 - 0
US Vibonese Calcio
USV
42%
26%
31%
40 40 0 0

Matches

Paternò
Paternò
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2022
PAT
Paternò
0 - 1
Lamezia Terme
LAT
17%
23%
60%
30 43 13 0
07 Dec. 2022
CAN
Canicattì
1 - 0
Paternò
PAT
53%
21%
26%
30 31 1 0
27 Nov. 2022
PAT
Paternò
1 - 3
Cittanova Interpiana
CIT
50%
22%
28%
32 28 4 -2
20 Nov. 2022
CSA
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
1 - 0
Paternò
PAT
57%
21%
22%
32 37 5 0
13 Nov. 2022
PAT
Paternò
1 - 3
Castrovillari
USC
53%
22%
25%
34 31 3 -2